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Special Recommendation from Smart Profit
BUY NATIONAL HYDRO POWER CORPORATION (533098)
CMP: 23
Target: 40 in 6 months
National Hydro Power Corporation, an entity of Government of India, is
country's largest hydro power producer.
NHPC is currently having an installed capacity of more than 5,300 MW
with 14 operational power stations and has a cash surplus of over Rs.
4,000 crore.
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC) has reported a net
profit of Rs 966 crore in the second quarter of FY12, a growth of 40%
as compared to Rs 690 crore in the corresponding quarter of last
fiscal.
Net sales jumped 47.66% to Rs 1,831 crore in the July-September period
of 2011 versus Rs 1,240 crore in same quarter the previous year.
The second quarter is a seasonally favorable quarter which contributes
bulk of full-year earnings.
Total revenue shot up 54% to Rs 1,981.5 crore from Rs 1,282.6 crore Y-
o-Y.
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
rose 35% to Rs 1,416 crore from Rs 1,049 crore during the same period.
The state-run major is engaged in the construction of 10 projects at
various locations in the country, going to have an additional capacity
of 4,502 MW. It is planning to develop two hydro projects in Myanmar.
It plans to increase the capacity to over 10,000 MW by end of 2012.
The coal price has risen, which will forced to increase in power price
by 26%. This will further boost the profit margin of NHPC to a large
extent.
Spanning on Government's increasing emphasis on hydro power and NHPC's
strong hold, we recommend a BUY on NHPC at CMP of Rs 23, with a target
of Rs.40 in 6 months and Rs 90 in 2 years.
BUY RURAL ELECTRIFICATION CORPORATION LIMITED (REC) (532955)
CMP: 199
Target: 300

REC, under Ministry of Power, was incorporated on July 25, 1969 under
the Companies Act 1956. REC a listed Public Sector Enterprise
Government of India with a net worth of Rs. 12,784 Crore as on
31.03.11.

REC provides loan assistance to SEBs/State Power Utilities for
investments in rural electrification schemes through its Corporate
Office located at New Delhi and 17 field units (Project Offices),
which are located in most of the States.

The company has been rated among the top 500 Global Financial Services
brands for 2010 by UK-based plc Brand Finance. REC is also among the
Forbes Global 2000 companies for 2010.

The total income of the company rose by 23.02% in the quarter under
review at Rs.2,372.88 crore ended June 30, 2011 as compared to Rs.
1,928.77 crore in the first quarter of the last fiscal.

With a strong sanctions pipeline (INR1.6 trillion), loan growth is
likely to be healthy at 22% CAGR over FY11-13. Loan book grew 24% Y-o-
Y and 5% Q-o-Q to INR858 billion.

The total equity of the company is of Rs.12000 cr, in which 81.82% is
with Govt. of India,
11.01% is with FIIS, Mutual funds and insurance companies and the
remaining 7.17% is with the HNI's and the local investors. If any of
the Mutual fund or insurance companies start accumulating the stock
will be rocketed.
It is a cash rich and a utility company with no input cost and no debt
or interest burden.

Due to REC's robust long-term business outlook and valuations, we are
expecting EPS of at least 8 by 2013-14.Hence, we have a 'BUY' rating
on the stock at CMP of Rs.199

BUY FIRSTSOURCE SOLUTION (532809)
CMP: 8
Target: 25

Formerly known as ICICI OneSource, incorporated in 2001, Firstsource
Solutions Limited provides a range of business process outsourcing
services.
It offers business process management services to the banking,
financial services and insurance (BFSI); telecommunications and media;
and healthcare industries. Firstsource has a "rightshore" delivery
model with operations in India, U.S., UK and Philippines.

INVESTMENT VIEW:-
Firstsource Recognized with Top Honors at the International Quality
and Productivity Council (IQPC) Conference
Leadership position in the healthcare industry
About 40% of the revenue comes from its healthcare vertical catering
mainly to US markets.
The Company works with more than 1000 clients. 7 of the top 10 clients
have grown during the quarter.
The current Employee Strength is 29,664 and further increasing its
strength by 3000.
Depreciation in Rupee from 44 to 52 will increase the profitability of
the company.
The is expected to sell out one of its subsidiary company worth Rs
1600cr.

The company has repurchased zero coupon convertible bonds worth `99.7
crore ($19.1 million). The buyback will bring down its outstanding
foreign currency convertible bonds from the current `993 crore ($191
million ) to `894 crore ($172 million).Quarter by Quarter it will
repurchase the remaining FCCB bonds and its liability will be zero by
2012.

With P/E of 22 and Considering the strong performance both on revenues
and profitability it will be a cash rich company within a year. Hence,
we recommend a strong BUY on FSL at CMP Rs.8 with a target price of Rs.
25 within 9 months.

BUY NEYVELI LIGNITE CORPORATION LIMITED (513683)
CMP: 76
Target: 150 in 9 months
NLC is a government-owned lignite mining Indian company, which is
wholly owned by the Union Government (49%) and administered via coal
ministry. It is recently announced as "Navratna" by Government of
India in April 2011. NLC Neyveli spreads over an area of around 54
square km, comprising Neyveli Township and temporary colonies around
32 blocks. The company runs the biggest open-pit lignite mines in
India and mines around 2.4 Crore tonnes of lignite annually for fuel,
with an installed capacity of 2490 MW of electricity per annum.
NLC now elaborated its project to Rajasthan also in mining as well as
thermal stations, 3 big mines also supplies a huge amount of sweet
water to Chennai. The Tamil Nadu electricity board has a JV with the
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd (NLC) for two projects – A 1000-MW
coal-based project at Tuticorin in southy Tamil Nadu at the cost of Rs.
4000 crore and the Jayamkondam lignite power project at a cost of Rs.
5000 crore for 1000 – MW power plant. The company has also planned to
develop clean coal technologies like extraction of coal bed methane
(CBM) and Underground coal gasification for which several steps have
been taken. The coal priced has raised, due to which Central Govt. has
forced SEB to increase Electricity Power tariff by 20%, which will
directly benefit NLC for ownership of their mines.
Neyveli Lignite is an open-cast mechanized lignite mine. The Company
has 50 % joint venture with Tamil Nadu Electricity Board and its
announced its plans to invest about Rs.36,900 crore on power
generation and mining capacity augmentation by 2017. The plan also
includes development of power projects using other fuel feed. The
company is also planning to invest Rs.40,200 crore to build power
plants in Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
Strong expansion & diversification plans to explore coal-based, wind
and solar power generation projects will add on strength to the
cashbook.
We recommend 'BUY' on the stock at CMP Rs. 76 with a target price of
Rs. 150 in 9 months
DISCLAIMER:- Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
position in the recommended stock.

FOR FURTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-
SUMAN JAIN
(CEO)
+919820041126
Email: sumanjain@smartprofit.in
DIPAK MANGELA
(Research Analyst)
+919820260291
Email: dipak.mangela@smartprofit.in
MANSINGH RAI
(Sr. Executive)
+919320907684
Email: mansingh.rai@smartprofit.in
SHAILESH GOWDA
(Sr. Executive)
+919967394114
Email: shailesh.gowda@smartprofit.in

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